{"id":24691,"date":"2023-01-01T22:09:31","date_gmt":"2023-01-01T21:09:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ginvest.es\/\/visio-de-mercat-gener\/"},"modified":"2023-06-23T09:43:53","modified_gmt":"2023-06-23T09:43:53","slug":"visio-de-mercat-gener","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ginvest.es\/eus\/visio-de-mercat-gener\/","title":{"rendered":"Visi\u00f3 de mercat \u2013 gener"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h5>Desembre ha sigut un mes clarament marcat per:<\/h5>\n<blockquote><p>\u2013 La tornada abrupta de la inflaci\u00f3 i la fi de la pol\u00edtica de tipus d\u2019inter\u00e8s baixos o incl\u00fas negatius.<\/p>\n<p>\u2013 L\u2019esclat d\u2019una guerra a Europa que ha agreujat la crisi energ\u00e8tica i ha derivat en un increment de la incertesa geopol\u00edtica.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Les dades del mes de Desembre ofereixen noves oportunitats per l\u2019inici del 2023:<\/p>\n<p>En primer lloc, la inflaci\u00f3 sembla que va tocant sostre als EUA. Encara que, segueixen amb un mercat laboral fort i la FED nom\u00e9s ha pujat els tipus d\u2019inter\u00e8s 50 punts b\u00e0sics, fins a situar-los en el 4,5% aquest mes de desembre. A m\u00e9s, tamb\u00e9 va anunciar un alentiment en el ritme i magnitud de pujades. D\u2019aquesta manera, s\u2019espera que s\u2019incrementin fins al 5% durant el primer trimestre del 2023.<\/p>\n<p>Tanmateix, la preocupaci\u00f3 va passar de centrar-se en la inflaci\u00f3 a centrar-se en el creixement, a causa de l\u2019anunci de retallades en costos i acomiadaments de personal, per part de grans i conegudes empreses.<\/p>\n<p>D\u2019altra banda, la finalitzaci\u00f3 de la pol\u00edtica de Covid 0 a la Xina per a fomentar el creixement. \u00c9s una dada molt positiva per a la regi\u00f3 perqu\u00e8 comportar\u00e0 una certa relaxaci\u00f3 geopol\u00edtica encara que, inicialment, podria causar una certa disrupci\u00f3 per l\u2019increment d\u2019infeccions que es preveu.<\/p>\n<h5>\nCONSEQ\u00dc\u00c8NCIES EN ELS MERCATS FINANCERS<\/h5>\n<p>Davant aquesta situaci\u00f3 els mercats financers van reaccionar corregint part de les significatives pujades aconseguides durant el mes de Novembre:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px;\">\u2013 Renda Fixa<br \/>\nLa Renda Fixa Governamental va corregir un -1,71% i la corporativa un -0,89% respectivament.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px;\">\u2013 Renda Variable<br \/>\nEn Renda Variable, el v\u00e8rtex emergent va ser el que menys va sofrir gr\u00e0cies, principalment, a les millors not\u00edcies publicades amb una caiguda del -2,33%. El v\u00e8rtex nordameric\u00e0 va tenir la caiguda m\u00e9s agreujada amb un -6,07%, penalitzat pels anuncis de retallades en les estimacions de beneficis d\u2019algunes empreses.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px;\">Aquest entorn de canvi en l\u2019orientaci\u00f3 de la pol\u00edtica monet\u00e0ria de la FED, va afavorir la depreciaci\u00f3 del d\u00f2lar en un 2,79% contra l\u2019euro.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h5>\nPOSICIONAMENT ESTRAT\u00c8GIC DE LES NOSTRES CARTERES<\/h5>\n<p>Davant aquesta situaci\u00f3, la nostra cartera estrat\u00e8gica, continua implementada per a fer front a una inflaci\u00f3 persistent amb un menor creixement, via:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px;\">\u2013 Renda Fixa<br \/>\nEn la part de Renda Fixa Corporativa continuem centrats en baixes durades, bons flotants i algun fons m\u00e9s oportunistic mentre mantenim una alta qualitat credit\u00edcia davant el menor creixement esperat.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px;\">T\u00e0cticament, en Renda Fixa Governs, continuem centrats en fons invertits als EUA amb durades m\u00e9s llargues perqu\u00e8 la FED sembla haver aconseguit assentar les expectatives d\u2019inflaci\u00f3.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px;\">\n\u2013 Renda Variable<br \/>\nContinuem infraponderats mentre mantenim la cautela en aquest actiu. Les expectatives de beneficis encara no descompten completament els riscos per al creixement. Estar diversificats \u00e9s la clau per a aportar m\u00e9s estabilitat a la cartera en aquests moments d\u2019incertesa.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px;\">Quant a tipologia, preferim fons invertits en companyies de qualitat i amb poder de fixaci\u00f3 de preus per a poder traspassar l\u2019increment de preus al client final, amb una visi\u00f3 m\u00e9s a llarg termini o fons amb creixements estables i sostinguts. Com serien, per exemple, els sectors defensius.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px;\">D\u2019altra banda, estar diversificats en diferents \u00e0rees geogr\u00e0fiques ens aporta descorrelaci\u00f3 a la cartera.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px;\">Finalment, aquest mes, es va continuar incrementant la durada en les carteres via l\u2019entrada d\u2019un fons global de bons corporatius investment grade amb major durada.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>_<br \/>\nGinvest AM<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Desembre ha sigut un mes clarament marcat per: &#8211; La tornada abrupta de la inflaci\u00f3 i la fi de la&#8230;<\/p>","protected":false},"author":21,"featured_media":24344,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-24691","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-sin-categorizar"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.8 - 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